๐บ /๐️ End of Illusions: ๐ฎ๐ฑ Yakov Kedmi on the Real Background of Current International Events ๐ฅ⃢ YouTube ▶️
๐ฑ♂️ Trump said RE: "Turkey, Erdogan wanted to attack Israel during the war with Iran, and I told him, 'Don't,' and he listened to me and didn't attack."
๐ https://youtu.be/vFOUTBfF6YI?t=2746&si=Gbnl0RQlxgCuGkEO
In the new episode of "Law & Order USA," Detective Steve Dudnik discusses the most pressing and resonant topics in global politics with Yakov Kedmi. The focus is on real-life scenarios in the Middle East, the hidden political motives of leading world leaders, and an analysis of the protracted global crisis. What really drives politicians? Why are many experts' predictions proving to be delusional? And what will the new balance of power lead to? A comprehensive analysis of the situation from the first to the last minute.
๐บ /๐️ End of Illusions: ๐ฎ๐ฑ Yakov Kedmi on the Real Background of Current International Events ๐ฅ⃢ YouTube ▶️ ๐ https://youtu.be/vFOUTBfF6YI?si=eey2Ezveinfu8MNn
Welcome and introduction to the guest of the program Yakov Kedmi
0:01:12 Analysis of rumors about the Third Temple and criticism of false expert opinions
0:02:45 Netanyahu's attitude to religion and the true motives of his politics
0:03:32 Why the statements of spiritual leaders are not orders for the state
0:04:52 Assessment of Netanyahu's chances in the next elections and the mood in society
0:06:19 Character traits of the Israeli leader and his attitude to political risks
0:07:38 Netanyahu's dilemma: a plea bargain or the threat of a court outcome
0:08:32 What Trump actually told Netanyahu in his last conversations
0:09:56 Indirect signs of changes in the White House position before the elections
0:10:46 Analysis of the scale of the charges against the Prime Minister and the specifics of corruption
0:11:53 Secret decisions on German submarines and the seriousness of criminal cases
0:13:56 How the top officials of the state sit under arrest and there are special prisons for them
0:15:59 Limitation of parliamentary immunity and high-profile violations of laws
0:17:10 Analysis of the US agreements with Iran and the specifics of Trump's foreign policy
0:18:56 Trump's trade approach to international politics and military pressure
0:20:45 The real contribution of aviation to stopping nuclear projects in the region
0:22:33 Details of past agreements and Iran's position on uranium enrichment
0:23:50 How the trade approach influences the opening of international straits
0:25:24 Rules for passage through international waters and charges for sea routes
0:27:05 The coincidence of US national interests and their obligations to their allies
0:29:21 Historical examples of the fulfillment and non-fulfillment of American guarantees
0:30:39 Twelve-day escalation and cancellation of the decisive airstrike
0:31:23 The Lebanon crisis and the positions of various states in the region
0:33:15 The decline in the influence of US military power and the unwillingness to use it
0:34:24 Trump's sanctions pressure on China and Europe and its results
0:35:23 Rumors about the actions of the Syrian army on the border and the possibility of a settlement
0:36:46 The reasons for the presence of forces in the demilitarized zone and security threats
0:37:32 Changes in the political course of Middle East leaders over time
0:38:55 Internal pressure on the leaders of neighboring countries from their entourage
0:39:59 The situation on the line of contact and the presence of foreign forces
0:40:31 Trump's decisions on Gaza and the staffing of international armed forces
0:41:48 Who will lead the new forces in the region and the position of the autonomy
0:43:29 American engines for Turkey and myths about fifth-generation aircraft
0:45:46 The reality of the military conflict between Turkey and Israel and the balance of power at sea
0:47:44 Why rumors about Erdogan's large-scale plans are unfounded
0:49:13 Rumors about Trump being blackmailed with Epstein documents and the specifics of his business
0:50:51 Attempts to find dirt on Trump and the methods of work of the intelligence services in the past
0:51:54 The situation in the Eastern European region: analysis of the actions of the parties
0:53:20 How Trump assesses the combat readiness of foreign armies based on the pace of advancement
0:54:56 Attempts by European leaders to exert political pressure on the White House
0:55:54 The strategy of the military-political leadership of Russia in the current events
0:56:55 Why The special military operation has been dragged on and possible ways out of the impasse
0:57:42 Summing up, a famous joke about the fight for peace and the end of the broadcast // Detective Steve Dudnik, America, USA, Florida, Miami // Law and Order in the USA Steve Dudnik and Yakov Kedmi
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๐ Explore an insightful analysis of Israel–U.S. relations, Benjamin Netanyahu's political challenges, Middle East security dynamics, and global geopolitical shifts through the perspective of expert Yakov Kedmi.
๐ Keywords
Netanyahu, Israel politics, Middle East conflict, US foreign policy
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ธ Israel–U.S. Relations and Middle East Geopolitics: Expert Analysis
๐ Introduction
Understanding the complex interplay of politics, security, and diplomacy in Israel and the broader Middle East requires experienced insight. In a detailed discussion with expert Yakov Kedmi, we explore Israel's internal politics, the role of the United States—particularly during the Trump administration—and the challenging geopolitical landscape involving Iran, Lebanon, Syria, and Russia's war in Ukraine.
This article examines major claims, clarifies common misconceptions, and summarizes Kedmi's analysis of possible future developments.
๐️ The Realpolitik Behind Netanyahu and the Third Temple Myth
❌ Dispelling Myths About Netanyahu's Religious Motivations
A recurring narrative claims that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is leading Israel toward building the Third Temple as the fulfillment of biblical prophecy.
According to Kedmi, this claim lacks factual support.
He argues:
๐ No verified historical record confirms that the Lubavitcher Rebbe instructed Netanyahu to build the Third Temple.
๐บ️ Israeli policy is primarily driven by national security and political considerations.
๐ค Netanyahu's political alliances and personal conduct do not support claims of a religious agenda directing state policy.
✡️ The Role of Religious Leaders
Kedmi emphasizes that rabbis provide spiritual guidance rather than governmental direction.
While influential among their followers:
๐ Religious leaders do not determine Israeli state policy.
๐️ Political decisions are ultimately made through Israel's democratic institutions.
⚖️ Netanyahu's Political Calculus and Legal Challenges
๐ณ️ The Election Dilemma
According to Kedmi, Netanyahu faces difficult political choices.
Possible scenarios include:
⚠️ Running in future elections while legal proceedings continue.
๐ค Negotiating a plea agreement and retiring from political life.
๐ Waiting until political success appears highly likely before making major decisions.
Kedmi characterizes Netanyahu as an exceptionally cautious political strategist.
๐ Corruption Allegations
Kedmi notes that the allegations extend beyond commonly discussed gifts such as cigars and champagne.
The investigations include allegations involving:
⚓ Procurement decisions concerning German submarines.
๐บ Alleged attempts to influence media legislation.
⚖️ Multiple corruption-related investigations involving bribery and breach of trust.
These matters have been the subject of lengthy legal proceedings.
๐ Prison Conditions
If convicted:
๐ข Israeli political leaders generally serve sentences in facilities designated for nonviolent offenders.
⚖️ Previous prime ministers and senior officials have served prison terms under Israeli law.
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Policy Under Trump and Its Impact
๐ผ Trump's Transactional Foreign Policy
Kedmi describes President Trump as approaching diplomacy primarily through negotiation and deal-making.
He argues Trump's objectives included:
☢️ Applying pressure on Iran to encourage negotiations.
๐️ Seeking agreements that reduced the likelihood of broader regional war.
๐ข Maintaining freedom of navigation through strategic waterways.
☢️ The Iran Nuclear Issue
Following U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA:
๐ฎ๐ท Iran gradually resumed portions of its nuclear activities.
๐ค Different governments offered conflicting interpretations regarding compliance and future negotiations.
๐ U.S. policy continued to prioritize American strategic interests.
๐ค Trump's Relationship with Netanyahu
Although Trump publicly supported Netanyahu, Kedmi suggests American policy ultimately follows U.S. national interests.
Possible implications include:
๐ Reduced emphasis on individual political leaders.
๐ Greater willingness to work with whichever Israeli government is elected.
๐ Continued strategic cooperation despite political changes.
๐ Lebanon and Syria: Northern Security Challenges
๐ก️ Hezbollah's Position
According to Kedmi:
๐ Hezbollah remains a significant military force.
๐ฑ๐ง The Lebanese government does not always exercise full control over Hezbollah.
๐ช Discussions have occurred regarding expanding the role of the Lebanese Armed Forces in southern Lebanon.
๐ธ๐พ Syria's Role
The Syrian military could potentially influence future regional dynamics.
However:
⚔️ Direct confrontation carries substantial military and humanitarian risks.
๐️ Israel remains focused on maintaining border security.
๐ต๐ธ Gaza and Palestinian Authority Negotiations
๐ Changing Dynamics
Kedmi discusses reports of possible international involvement in Gaza involving multinational peacekeeping or stabilization efforts.
Potential goals include:
๐️ Strengthening Palestinian Authority governance.
๐ง Reducing Hamas' influence.
๐ค Supporting long-term reconstruction.
๐ฎ๐ฑ Israeli Concerns
Some Israeli leaders remain skeptical that transferring authority to the Palestinian Authority would improve long-term security.
๐น๐ท Turkey's Regional Role
✈️ Military Capabilities
Kedmi argues:
๐ฉ️ Turkey continues developing advanced aircraft but faces technological challenges.
๐️ Much of President Erdoฤan's rhetoric is intended for domestic and regional political audiences.
⚔️ A direct Israel–Turkey military conflict remains unlikely.
๐ฐ The Epstein Allegations
Kedmi rejects numerous online conspiracy theories connecting Jeffrey Epstein with Netanyahu, Trump, or broader geopolitical events.
He argues:
๐ Extraordinary claims require credible evidence.
⚖️ Public speculation often exceeds verified facts.
๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ Russia–Ukraine War
⚔️ Ukraine's Military Strategy
According to Kedmi:
๐ฏ Ukrainian strikes against infrastructure demonstrate operational capability.
๐ They also reinforce international support.
๐ข Some actions carry symbolic political significance.
๐ก️ Russia's Strategy
Kedmi characterizes Russia's approach as:
๐ข Slow but methodical.
๐ค Open to negotiations under favorable conditions.
⚖️ Focused on long-term strategic objectives.
๐ Effects on Israel
The conflict indirectly affects Israel through:
๐ค Changing international alliances.
๐บ๐ธ Shifts in U.S. foreign policy priorities.
๐ Global security realignments.
๐️ The Future of Middle East Peace
๐ค Abraham Accords
Kedmi notes that broader normalization efforts remain connected to unresolved Palestinian issues.
Countries such as Saudi Arabia continue emphasizing:
๐️ Progress toward a Palestinian political solution.
๐ Stability in Gaza and the West Bank.
๐ค Continued diplomatic negotiations.
⚠️ Continuing Instability
Kedmi concludes that:
๐ฅ Regional tensions are likely to continue.
๐️ Internal political struggles remain significant.
๐ Long-term peace will require addressing deeply rooted historical disputes.
๐ Conclusion
Yakov Kedmi offers one perspective on Israel's political landscape and the wider Middle East.
His analysis addresses:
๐ฎ๐ฑ Netanyahu's political and legal challenges
๐บ๐ธ The nature of U.S.–Israel relations
☢️ Iran's regional influence
๐ Hezbollah and northern security concerns
๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ The broader geopolitical effects of the Russia–Ukraine war
As with any geopolitical analysis, readers should compare multiple credible sources and viewpoints to develop a comprehensive understanding of these complex and evolving issues.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
๐ฎ๐ฑ Is Netanyahu trying to build the Third Temple?
According to Kedmi, there is no factual evidence supporting this claim. He argues Netanyahu's decisions are primarily political and security-related.
⚖️ What legal cases does Netanyahu face?
Netanyahu has faced multiple legal proceedings involving allegations including bribery, fraud, and breach of trust. The legal process has been ongoing for several years.
๐บ๐ธ How did Trump influence U.S.–Israel relations?
Trump strongly supported Israel while pursuing a transactional foreign policy approach centered on negotiations and U.S. national interests.
๐น๐ท Could Turkey and Israel go to war?
Kedmi considers a direct military confrontation unlikely due to strategic realities and mutual deterrence.
๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ How does the Russia–Ukraine war affect Israel?
Indirectly through changing international alliances, shifting diplomatic priorities, and evolving global security dynamics.
๐ Understanding the Middle East requires examining history, diplomacy, military strategy, economics, and competing national interests. Following multiple reliable sources and carefully evaluating evidence helps build a more complete picture of one of the world's most strategically important regions.
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**Host:** Hello, dear friends. As always, we have "Law and Order in the USA" with Detective Steve Dudnik on the air. And today we have our friend, expert on Israel, Yakov Kedmi, as our guest. Yakov, hello. Thank you for coming.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Hello. Good evening or good afternoon to you.
**Host:** We have good afternoon here. You have good evening over there. And the most absurd question I want to ask you, because I know it's absurd, but I can't explain to people that it's absurd. So maybe you can explain it to me. Many experts from Israel — we won't name their names, they're my friends, but they consider themselves experts — say that everything happening in Israel now is because Netanyahu once met the Lubavitcher Rebbe, who told him, "You scoundrel, you must build the Third Temple and everything must be for that." All the wars, all the conquests, and everything else — it's all about the Third Temple. And now Netanyahu is leading the country toward the Third Temple and the coming of the Messiah. And no one cares about the people of Israel, Israel's politics, or territories. It's all done for one thing only: the Third Temple. How absurd is this?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Well, the people who say this are harmless, so they don't need to be sent to a psychiatric hospital. But from time to time, they should be taking medication every day, because you can't even call this delusion. Where did they suck this out of? From whom did they suck this delusion? On what basis? What can be said? At least false facts should be presented. So what facts do they base this on?
**Host:** On a video of a meeting — they keep showing this video everywhere of a young Netanyahu and the Lubavitcher Rebbe. They keep shoving this video around.
**Yakov Kedmi:** What's shown in the video?
**Host:** The Rebbe says something to him, like, "You must do something," and Netanyahu. To whom is the Rebbe speaking? To young Netanyahu.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Who cares what that Rebbe said? What he said and what Trump says is the same thing. And nowhere is it written that the Rebbe said this to him. And if he did say it, well, the Rebbe said it to me too. But I answered politely: "I've listened to you. Okay." Well, Trump eats shrimp, eats pork with cheese. What Third Temple for him? He doesn't care about the Third Temple or the Second Temple. He doesn't care about anything except his own power. What does the Third Temple have to do with it? They found a messenger of the Third Temple — Netanyahu. But I'm saying Netanyahu. Yes, you said Trump. Netanyahu. No, I'm saying Trump. I'm saying Netanyahu. He eats shrimp, pork with cheese. What Third Temple will he build? Is he going to eat a pork sandwich there? With bacon. The Third Temple. For whom? Is he religious? He only goes to synagogue to meet some Rebbe and make a deal with him. But these people who say this — they're not just idiots, they're insane. Maybe for them, whatever the Rebbe said, any nonsense, is God's law — but only for them. The Rebbe said — ergo, azma. Which Rebbe? The Lubavitcher Rebbe. Another Rebbe, the Sadmorian Rebbe. What's the difference? Since when is what the Rebbe said accepted as a command for all of life? And what do rabbis understand about modern life? Some of them understand holy books, and even then only partially. Well, let them deal with their holy books. Let them stick their noses in there. If I quote what various rabbanim, various rabbis in Israel, in America — Sephardic, Ashkenazi — have said, your hair would stand on end from this savagery. And what did another rabbi say? What did Rabbi Yosef say? That in Israel there's a government that's leading to ruin. He said that about Netanyahu. So what?
**Host:** Okay. And they also say in our circles that Netanyahu's days are numbered, that he won't win the next elections, that the religious have turned against him, and he has practically nothing left, that it's all over for him, he's lost power. What do you think about that?
**Yakov Kedmi:** So, there's a good chance he'll lose the elections, because besides his rabid allies and those who cling to him because if he falls, the methods will sweep everyone away — he's already gotten on everyone's nerves, and with his recent actions... There are chances for that. What will happen? I don't know. One can only judge by indirect signs. And even public opinion polls — they don't affect me. I view public opinion as an indicator of dynamics, but not an accurate result. I don't remember when polls gave an accurate result.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Napoleon had a good expression: polls create a good aroma, but they don't replace reality. And regarding the situation with Netanyahu, you need to know his character. I know his character very well. First of all, Netanyahu never takes risks, he never fights.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** And therefore, if he's not 120–150% sure of success, he won't do it. Look at what hysterics he's been in before previous elections, when he wasn't sure he would win. A hysterical girl would have kept herself more composed than any hysterical schoolgirl. So the calculation now is this: Netanyahu is doing everything to win the elections. That's correct. But if right before the elections he realizes he has no guarantee of winning, he'll go for a deal with the prosecution — rather, he won't go to the elections. How he explains it doesn't matter. Because there's a very simple and terrifying problem before him. If he goes for a deal with the prosecution now and leaves the political arena — well, yes, he leaves the political arena and goes to Miami, where his wife and his pervert son like to be. But if he loses the elections, he'll go to prison.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Either lose the elections and go to prison, or withdraw from the elections but avoid prison. That's his dilemma. And here I can only judge by indirect signs. And what's happening? Here's President of the United States Trump, who supported Netanyahu with both hands and feet. And what did he say to Netanyahu in their recent conversations?
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** What? "You're only not in prison because of me. I saved you." That's what he said to Netanyahu. Trump says many strange things, to put it mildly. Well, in response, when correspondents asked him: "Mr. Trump, will you help Netanyahu? Will you support him in the elections?" And then Trump said: "Maybe, but I want to talk and get to know his competitors." That has never happened. Why all of a sudden? And in another interview, when asked, he said: "I'm not sure Netanyahu will go to the elections." And I have a simple question: what does Trump know that gives him grounds to say that? This isn't just Trump's fantasy. Maybe they are the result of what he knows. And in this case, we'll see over the next four months until the elections. They'll be in October. How the map will shape up. And I'm sure, and everyone who knows Netanyahu well knows, he won't take risks. And he needs a 150% guarantee. Who will give him a 150% guarantee? I don't know. Maybe his wife, but she doesn't choose.
**Host:** Yakov, can we talk about Netanyahu's prison situation? As far as I understand, maybe I'm wrong, if you look at Netanyahu's corruption and the corruption of everyone else, including Zelensky, Biden, and all the rest, he hasn't done anything compared to what others have done. I understand there's talk about cigars, newspapers, cognac. Something like that, something that can hardly be called corruption — or does Israel have a separate understanding of corruption?
**Yakov Kedmi:** First of all, we don't care what corruption exists in other countries. We don't compare. Secondly, presenting it as just cigars is incorrect. But, in secret from the Ministry of Defense, in secret from the Chief of Staff, contrary to Israel's policy, giving Germany permission to sell submarines that are supplied to Israel and Egypt — under the condition that his uncle supplies steel to that German firm for the production of submarines. And no one in Israel knew about this.
**Host:** Uh-huh, I see.
Yes, that's serious. That's not cigars. That's serious. That's a serious accusation. Yes. It may even be proven. Whether it will be proven is another question. But it's a serious accusation. It's treason. And then it's not about cigars when his wife begs and solicits cigars, champagne, or something — well, she's his wife, okay, but everyone has their own issues. It's unpleasant, but when she does it, well, okay. Tell me, please, how do they sit? He has four criminal cases. Appointing changes to laws in Israel to improve conditions for one of the publishers of Israeli newspapers and the head of the central news internet platform, to change his performance and the direction of his newspaper in his favor. That's not cigarettes, that's something completely different. So don't be led by those who try to say: "There's nothing there, just cigars." No, just cigars — that's also a violation of the law, but that's another matter.
**Host:** And, Yakov, tell me, how do top officials sit in prison in Israel? Do they have some separate prisons, or is it house arrest? After all, it's a top official. They can't put him in a general cell with Arabs or how does that happen?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Well, I'll say, unlike the Israel I traveled to and arrived in, and unlike what was then, since then Israel has changed. A prime minister sat in prison here. In a regular prison — there is such a prison, it's not for high society, but it's different — for light crimes.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
The Chief Rabbi of Israel sat in prison. Ministers sat — not one, not two, not three. There are no special prisons for them.
Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** But since their crimes were light crimes — no murder, no treason, nothing — they sat in that prison, which is for criminals with light financial crimes. Those who sit for bribery, those who sit for embezzlement. Well, here it's not considered a serious crime.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
So prime ministers sat, and ministers in this government, and before that how many ministers sat. And how many criminal cases are there now against members of parliament? Almost all from the ruling party. Well, as long as you're not caught, you're not a thief — some leave, try to escape investigation using, for example, parliamentary immunity. One woman who, as a member of parliament, violated a very serious law. In her speech — what she said is nonsense and lies, well, that's one thing — but she revealed the name of a security service employee, which is a serious crime.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
And now she says: "I did this within the framework of fulfilling my duties as a member of parliament." Well, the entire coalition voted to leave her parliamentary immunity. Well, she'll still go to prison or be tried. Maybe if she's not sentenced to prison, but to suspended sentence or house arrest or some community service, only because her family situation is difficult. I wouldn't wish such misfortune on anyone.
**Host:** Okay. And, Yakov, then I have a question about Trump. Let's return. The deal with Iran — this shameful deal that I just can't understand. I get the feeling that Trump just kind of caved to Iran. They tell him whatever they want. They're having him in every possible way, I apologize, they're mocking him, and they set conditions. And one of the conditions, by the way, was Lebanon. But we understand perfectly well that Israel can't leave Lebanon because Hezbollah exists, existed, and will exist, and it will constantly shell Israel. But your Israeli experts say it's all nonsense. If Israel wanted to, it would have dealt with Hezbollah long ago — it's all controlled chaos that benefits Netanyahu. And that you could calmly deal with this and leave Lebanon. But as far as I understand, Iran will first say Lebanon, then Samaria and everything else, then Gaza, and Trump is following their lead. So what can be said about this?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Well, firstly, when there are such agreements and such participants, each interprets it in their own way.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** And when agreements are concluded, vague, ambiguous formulations are given in advance to allow for this interpretation. And then they say: "We've reached an agreement." But one side says: "This agreement means this," and the other side says the opposite. But each hangs noodles on their own voters, on their own country. What did Trump do? Trump is not a military man — I think he was at West Point for 2 months and left, or they left him. He's not a statesman, he's not a politician; he's a dealer.
*Host:**Uh-huh. An entrepreneur.
**Yakov Kedmi:** All his life he was in trade. Buy, sell. Therefore, for him, foreign policy, domestic policy — it's a commercial deal. When he started the war with Iran, war was not his goal. His goal was to come to negotiations with Iran with an agreement more convenient for him. And war was a means of pressure on Iran for that. And he applied that pressure. But Iran didn't bend. And suddenly it turned out that the country with the strongest conventional army in the world, the strongest army, concentrated huge forces against Iran, achieved magnificent results from a military point of view. But Trump, the trader, came and nullified everything. And everything the American army did — he said: "Throw it away." And he started a commercial deal in which all the advantages achieved by the American army play no role. And if you analyze — what achievements does Trump have after this war? None. He's very proud that they opened the Strait of Hormuz, but it was open before the war. Moreover, before the war it was open on better terms.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** They inflicted enormous damage on Iran's economy and its military industry. They stopped the nuclear project in Iran. But that was us. The Americans only dropped the last ones, finished it off. Although we could have done it ourselves without them, in another way and more effectively. We just decided — if the Americans are ready, let them drop their heavy bombs. We could have taken it with our special forces and destroyed it all in a completely different way. Well, we went along with that. But he can attribute to himself: "He destroyed, stopped Iran's nuclear program." But 95% of it was done by our aviation, destroying those targets that Trump finished off, and all of Iran's military industry that serviced the nuclear project. That's about a hundred enterprises. An atomic bomb is a very complex process. But besides that, what did the Iranians tell him? That their project is practically stopped — yes, the question is whether they will restore it or not. But what did they sell him? They said: "We'll start negotiations within 60 days on how much highly enriched uranium we'll have or won't have, and how it will be checked." But the agreement with Iran in 2015 — Obama concluded it. An agreement, as we say, with many holes, but within that agreement Iran stopped its nuclear program.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** And everyone confirmed — they stopped it. Even when Trump tore it up, said: "I'm withdrawing from this agreement," Iran didn't resume it for another year. That is, if this agreement had continued, today Iran would not be in such a position regarding nuclear weapons as it was before the war — but the military did that. And what did he do? A politician, and he has nothing more. And what alarmed me for the first time was when Trump surrendered to whom? The Houthis.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** How he, tail between his legs, said: "I came to an agreement with them." About what? "They won't attack American ships. And I'm stopping." How did Trump justify it? That he went to open the Strait of Hormuz by non-military means within the framework of the agreement. And the Pentagon offered him: "Here are plans for you, we'll open this strait, we'll achieve this. Here's such a plan, such a plan." He said: "But that would involve heavy military action, and therefore I decided that it's not necessary." That's how a trader decides, not a military man, not a statesman. Military action, yes, can be heavy. The question is: in the name of what? And now the Strait of Hormuz will officially open on different terms. On Iran's terms. Not only Iran's, but on other terms, because Oman said: "We also want to collect a fee." Does this contradict all international laws on international straits? Saudi Arabia with Egypt charges a fee for passage into the Gulf of Aqaba. Someone charges a fee for passage through the Malacca Strait — even the countries that lie along its shores. No. Britain and Spain charge for passage through Gibraltar. France and Britain charge for passage from the Caspian, the North Sea, further. No. Russia and the United States charge for the Bering Strait. No. I can continue this indefinitely. Egypt charges not for passage, but for the canal they built, just as Panama does. But in international waters, this cannot be.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** But that's where it's all heading. And now, since it's important to him to reach an agreement at any cost and thereby lower oil prices, which rose as a result of the war, uh-huh, and not take on the risks of continuing military action — therefore, in the name of reaching an agreement, he's ready to agree to everything. But I don't accept reproaches from Israel, from our political figures, that Trump betrayed Israel. He didn't betray anyone. What do the United States owe Israel? Why? Since when does the United States have its own national interests? And Israel does not fall within the national interests of the United States. Sometimes our common interests, ours and America's, coincide. I've said it several times, I repeat: when Nixon came to power, the US Secretary of Defense gave him a report — which is always given to a new president — on the situation in the world, on the assessment of the global situation. Regarding the Middle East, he wrote: "The existence of Israel is not a national interest of the United States." This is the US Secretary of Defense saying this to his president, and he's not the first to say it, nor the last. That is, Americans don't owe us anything. Demanding from Americans: "Fulfill our political, international demands" — that's nonsense. The United States must fulfill international agreements, but they don't. What's written? What law was passed in the United States? Any international treaty, if it does not serve the current interests of the United States, the United States is not obligated to fulfill it. This is already about the written agreement. And there were obligations — when Eisenhower after the Suez campaign demands Israel withdraw its forces from Sinai, he says: "I promise you, I, the President of the United States, that if Egypt blocks the entrance to the Gulf of Aqaba, we, the United States, will open it. I guarantee you." 1967. Nasser closed the Straits of Tiran. Eshkol turned to President Johnson. He says: "Thus and thus, says the President of the United States." And Johnson, continuing this, said: "Yes, he promised, but we can't fulfill it for our own reasons." There was a war in Vietnam. Then Johnson at least said: "Do what you want." We fought the Six-Day War. So the fact that Trump said to stop during the war — the twelve-day war, the last day, the most terrible strike we were preparing on Iran, 5 minutes before the bombs and shells were launched — that's his right. But the fact that Bibi complied and was afraid to say: "No, that's our fault" — he asked: "Are your planes on targets? Another 5 minutes and it's done." He said: "Stand down." Well, that's our fault, not his.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** But Trump is achieving what he's achieving regarding Lebanon. Regarding Lebanon, there are attempts by Iran to get involved in everything — in the Lebanese problem and with Hamas. That won't happen. He can shout as much as he wants. Only two sides want this: Hezbollah and Qatar, which has always worked with terrorist organizations — with Hezbollah and with Hamas. The Lebanese government is against it. The American one, yes, also against it. The French one against it. Well, regarding us, it's clear, because it's unlikely he'll succeed in that. How and with what will the problem in Iran end? I think it will end with the fact that if we manage to withdraw our troops from the entire territory of South Lebanon, and the Lebanese army goes in instead of Hezbollah. That's the only thing that can happen. Only if Trump, for a promise for the future, pressures Netanyahu and Netanyahu bends. And Trump — that's not his problem. The conflict on the Lebanese border with Hezbollah — is that a security problem for the United States? Clearly not. Clearly not. There's some interest. Even Iran — did it threaten the United States? No. Is this America's problem? No, it's a problem of US influence in this or that region. No one fights for influence. But the worst thing that Trump's actions have shown is that the military might of the United States has no meaning. Because the president is afraid to use it to the end.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** US obligations to the Gulf countries, for example — they were supposed to protect them. They tried, but this agreement turned everything upside down, crossed everything out. So why be afraid of American military might if they're not ready to use it or at least seriously? After all, today Trump's only success is Maduro — he couldn't do anything else anywhere. I'm not talking about Anchorage, that's a different problem. What penalties did he threaten China with?
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** He backed off of Europe. So why fear a reaction from the United States? And how can you rely on the United States to fulfill its obligations tomorrow? Because it's like a footnote — provided that the president in office at that time finds it beneficial. That is, Trump failed to transform military power, economic power into political decisions in accordance with his plans.
**Host:** Do you think there will be no more military clashes between America and Iran — is it all over?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Yes. If it can happen between us and Iran — we're ready. But then no one will stop us anymore. No one.
**Host:** There are rumors that the Syrian army has started clearing minefields to enter Lebanon. And everyone says that if they go in, there will be a massacre. Only the Syrian army can deal with Hezbollah. Do you think this will happen or not?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Trump said that the Syrian army can solve the Hezbollah problem. I've been saying this for a long time. Whether the president of Syria is Ahmed al-Sharaa will go for it — I don't know. He's now saying: "No, we're not thinking about it — we're ready to help, but not to send troops." But only his army can solve the problem. The Lebanese army is weak. But if al-Sharaa leads his troops in, there could be a massacre. They have scores to settle with the Shiites.
**Host:** Well, that's their problem. It doesn't concern anyone anymore. That's their problem, as I understand it.
**Host:** Why is Israel against it?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Because we entered Syrian territory throughout the demilitarized zone and we're sitting there. The question is: why? Why is there a threat to Israel from Syria? I don't know. There isn't. Where from — the Syrian army? There's no such thing. On al-Sharaa's side, he's ready tomorrow to sign any agreement with us that returns the status quo of 1974.
**Host:** But it's clear that he's still a terrorist. Today he can sign, and tomorrow he can attack.
**Yakov Kedmi:** I can give a very nasty answer. He's the first terrorist who stands at the head of his state. There haven't been those who engaged in terrorist activities and became heads of state. There have been. Including mine? What was he in his youth? What difference does it make? Today his policy is to enter into good relations with everyone, including Israel.
**Host:** Well, as far as I understand, he understands the issue of the Golan Heights.
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** He hasn't done anything connected with his past terrorist activities. And what — all the leaders in the Middle East are white and fluffy, all candidates for the first prize for human rights protection and the Nobel Peace Prize?
**Host:** Well, as far as I understand, Yakov, his associates and assistants are very unhappy with him. They accuse him of putting on a suit and stopping doing what he's supposed to do. And he needs to feed them somehow, give them something. And they want — as far as I understand — first Lebanon, then Jerusalem, and they might push him toward Jerusalem, toward Israel. Could that happen or not?
**Yakov Kedmi:** No. And who said his assistants or his entourage are saying this? The same thugs that we have here exist in Syria, Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia. But that's not his apparatus, that's not his policy. And the Syrian border — the Syrian border or the ceasefire line — was the calmest in all the years after the 1973 war. There was never a single conflict there with the Syrian army or with terrorists, although they appeared from time to time and tried. But what worried us most on that line of contact was the presence of Hezbollah and Iran. Where is Hezbollah? Where is Iran? On the Syrian-Israeli border. So we're sitting there, these 5 km deep into Syria — what do they give, from what? From whom do they protect us?
**Host:** Uh-huh. I see.
**Yakov Kedmi:** But this is an internal political struggle in Israel. The current government can't agree to this. Nothing can be done before the elections.
**Host:** Okay.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Well, this policy of Trump that he demonstrated — the worst thing for Israel's current policy is his decision regarding Gaza. And what will happen there? There we will really get hit in the most sensitive spot. Why? Because the formation of armed forces that must enter Gaza is ongoing. There are already a dozen countries. The latest country to declare it's ready to send troops there is Georgia. Kosovo sent troops. Moroccan officers have already arrived. They're already in Israel. They're already at the headquarters of these forces, which is located in Kiryat Gat. Others will arrive soon — Indonesians, I think Kazakhstan still wants to come. They'll send them.
**Host:** And why is this bad for Israel?
**Yakov Kedmi:** We're afraid that if they come in instead of Hezbollah, instead of Hamas — who will command them? The leadership of the Palestinian Authority at the head of this group and at the head of the government, besides Mladenov — former ministers of the Authority. I'm not saying it's bad. I'm saying: for Israeli policy as it has been until today, you cannot allow the Authority to replace Hamas in power in Gaza. But Trump started negotiations with the Authority, with the Authority's leadership. Just as he says: "I want to talk to Netanyahu's competitors" — he'll talk to others. And this is an absolute demand of all Arab countries. And Trump cares about relations with Arab countries, especially after he messed up now. So whom will he prefer? Netanyahu and his internal political support, which certain parties are denying him, or US interests in the Middle East?
**Host:** Uh-huh. I think the answer is clear. Judging by what happened until today.
**Host:** Okay.
**Host:** And Trump and the White House went further. They decided to sell engines for fifth-generation fighters to Turkey. Congress, however, hasn't allowed it — God willing they won't. And Turkey's attitude, Erdogan's attitude toward Israel. I even know that in Syria, even on al-Sharaa, there's very strong pressure from Turkey. Is there any possibility of a clash between Turkey and Israel? Because Erdogan is pounding his hooves and is ready to send troops today. And how dangerous is this for Israel?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Firstly, it's not correct to call a plane that Turkey makes a fifth-generation fighter. Well, I don't know how they say that. I don't know. They say stupid things. I ask — when did Turkey make a decent plane, does anyone remember? Not in the Ottoman Empire. Turkey has an aviation industry that produces aircraft that can be called combat planes. And suddenly something there — an engine or something, yes? They're trying to make some kind of plane. What kind of plane will it be? What will it cost? They tried to make tanks too, but they're worthless. They tried to make drones. And what success did they achieve, apart from Ukrainian propaganda? Well, it's clear they need an engine. Who today can supply an engine for a modern jet? America, France, or Boeing? France has never supplied an engine to anyone — they sell the plane. Or Rolls-Royce — Rolls-Royce makes good engines. And Boeing makes good engines. Well, where else will Turkey buy one? From whom? We don't produce engines. China, yes, produces, but China doesn't sell — no chance to buy from China. So all these talks... But Trump doesn't quite understand what he's saying. Sometimes he says stupid things. Here's the latest stupidity he said: "Erdogan wanted to attack Israel during the war with Iran, and I told him: 'Don't.' And he listened to me and didn't attack." Turkey's reaction followed immediately. You can say everything about it: "We never even dreamed of such a thing. We had no plans. We weren't going to attack anyone. We weren't going to fight in this war. We generally don't want to fight anyone." Well, he dreamed it. Yes. And what did he take before bed that made him dream that? Well, I don't know — but he's the President of the United States of a great country. So all these talks about a conflict between Israel and Turkey that could escalate into a military conflict — the first one who doesn't want this is Turkey and the Turkish army. They know what it is. They know what the Israeli Air Force and Israeli Navy are. The last thing they want to try out in practice, and they're not going to do it. And why? Why? To strengthen Turkey's authority in the Muslim world of Arab countries? Well, this is Erdogan's bluster, yes? But to do something — not to get involved in a war in the name of what? And those same people who say: "Bibi is building the Third Temple because the Rebbe said so" — the same type of mentality says: "Tomorrow Erdogan will start a war with Israel." Why? Where? And how? Do we have a border with Syria? What will he do? Send his ships. The lifespan of the Turkish fleet in the event of war is shorter than Iran's. Because the only country that has air superiority over the Mediterranean in our region — it's not Turkey. It's us. Without air superiority, a fleet is doomed. What can his fleet do against the Syrian? Yes, against the Greek it can, but not against the naval and air forces of Israel. And besides, it's not needed. This was never part of Turkey's plans, never.
**Host:** Yakov, our admin wrote that there are rumors that Netanyahu is blackmailing Trump with some Epstein documents.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Well, leave Epstein's ashes alone. Who hasn't raped his memory with all sorts of perversions? Well, leave it — yes, a pedophile, a pimp, but, as they say, the sexual part of his dealings and the fact that the whole world came to him — that was no more than 5% of his activities. He attracted everyone because he had a huge party scene. Come, I'll introduce you to so-and-so, and so-and-so will introduce you to so-and-so. And those who understand international business — connections, meetings are critically important. People pay crazy money for that. "Introduce me to this person, connect me." That was his platform, and he made money on that. That in parallel with this he gratified certain people with sexual pleasures — that was no more than 5% of those who circulated there. And as for Trump... they found nothing in the United States regarding Trump and Epstein. Nothing, nothing even close. And no matter how the Democratic Party searched, what they didn't invent about Trump's sexually improper behavior. And the same idiots who said: "Trump was caught by the KGB during his visit to Moscow." On what? Well, it's clear, it's clear. Something — on what? Well, yes, the KGB caught many people, but it didn't use it. And the best pornographic films that the KGB made about the metropolitan's entertainment with prostitutes were about Robert Kennedy.
**Host:** Uh-huh. Okay. And the last question for today. This takes us to another region — Russia. What's happening? Ukraine has gained strength. We see that Ukraine has gone on the offensive, destroying oil refineries, striking Moscow. And the fuel problems in Crimea — people, they say, are almost fleeing. I don't know whether it's true or not, I don't want to say, but what I hear is that there's complete collapse and chaos. And some say it's all deliberately escalated so that Russia can then deliver a massive blow to Ukraine, or that Russia no longer has enough resources. What's happening in that region? I know you understand this well. What's happening?
**Yakov Kedmi:** Ukraine is trying to provoke internal pressure in Russia on the authorities to force them to negotiate. That's one direction of the strikes. It has no military significance, it has no practical significance. But the fact that one or two oil refineries will be damaged — three or four — it won't harm Russia's energy system or supply system. The same goes for Crimea. Secondly, I've already pointed this out: Ukraine must show that it's fighting and having success in order to receive large sums of money. But behind Ukraine's actions, there's always all of Europe. But there's another aspect I've noted more than once. And this aspect was revealed by Vance when he was asked about Anchorage. He said: "When we were in Anchorage, the Russian army was advancing 20 km a month, and now it's advancing 200 m."
**Host:** Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** So if the Russian army's advance has slowed down over the year, Trump pays great attention to what the combat capability of other armies is. And when he praised Erdogan, he said: "He has an excellent army." Does he have any idea what the Turkish army is? Well, we could tell him. Well, it's an excellent army. And about whomever he speaks, he says: "He has an excellent army, he has a good army." He has a complex about this, probably he still can't come to terms with the fact that West Point tolerated him for no more than 2 months, so he keeps pushing this. And how much did he say, praising the American army? I won't say it was incorrect, but how did he later treat it? So his reasoning — but for Zelensky and for European leaders, it matters to pressure Trump. Because what did Trump recently say? "Zelensky fights so well, what brave soldiers he has." Suddenly six months ago this wasn't there, and suddenly it opened up. So Zelensky is going for provocation. He's always gone for provocation. From Belarus he's trying to provoke, create pressure on Russia for Russia to go to negotiations with a ceasefire. But everything he does cannot lead to victory. It cannot change the situation. It can't even stop the Russian troops, which are advancing westward. Slowly, but advancing. Why? That's another question, not for this discussion.
**Host:** Why doesn't Russia deliver a powerful retaliatory strike? They can use vacuum bombs. They have a lot of things.
**Yakov Kedmi:** Not because they don't have enough weapons, but Russia's military-political leadership considers it inexpedient. They always want what Trump wanted with Iran — negotiations and agreements. Russia also wants this with Ukraine — negotiations and agreements, and military action is only a means to bring Ukraine to agree to this. So Ukraine says: "Fine, we'll use the military means we have to force you to negotiate on our terms." But Russia doesn't want victory. It hasn't defined victory. To this day, in the fifth year of the war, to this day it's not a war. Well, it's only a special military operation. And what next? Which has already lasted longer than the Patriotic War [WWII]. Yes. So what next then? It's some kind of dead end. What next? How much longer? 5 years, 10 years? I don't know. I haven't discussed this problem with Putin. I hope they have some plans. But so far, judging by the daily statements that Russia is ready for negotiations — which are already happening several times a day — I don't hear anything from them.
**Host:** I see. Well, Yakov, thank you very much for coming. Today there was a lot of interesting information. Thank you for finding the time for us. God willing, there will be peace in Israel and everything will be fine.
**Yakov Kedmi:** We'll see what happens next. I don't know if there will be peace or not. I'll repeat the joke from my childhood: Armenian Radio was asked, "Will there be peace?" Armenian Radio replied: "We don't know if there will be peace, but there will be such a struggle for peace that not a stone will be left on a stone." Well, the Abraham Accords are over, as I understand it?
**Host:** No, they've begun. Uh-huh.
**Yakov Kedmi:** They, the Arabs, set conditions. This is what Saudi Arabia determined back in 2002: solution to the Gaza problem, return of the Palestinian Authority there, and the beginning of negotiations on the creation of a Palestinian state. Then we are all ready to establish full relations with Israel.
**Host:** But that will never happen.
**Yakov Kedmi:** One should never say "never." Uh-huh. If someone had said that military actions between Russia and Ukraine would continue into the fifth year, still without liberating the Donetsk region, no one would ever have believed it. If someone had said on the first day of the US war with Iran that this would be the ending, no one would have imagined it. In such a world we live.
**Host:** Thank you very much. Until next time.
**Yakov Kedmi:** You're welcome.
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๐จ TRUMP CLAIMS HE STOPPED ERDOGAN FROM ATTACKING ISRAEL – BUT WHAT’S REALLY GOING ON?
๐ฑ♂️ Trump said RE: "Turkey, Erdogan wanted to attack Israel during the war with Iran, and I told him, 'Don't,' and he listened to me and didn't attack."
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐น๐ท Yakov Kedmi responds:
"Well, this policy of Trump that he demonstrated — the worst thing for Israel's current policy is his decision regarding Gaza. And what will happen there? There we will really get hit in the most sensitive spot. Why? Because the formation of armed forces that must enter Gaza is ongoing. There are already a dozen countries. The latest country to declare it's ready to send troops there is Georgia. Kosovo sent troops. Moroccan officers have already arrived. They're already in Israel. They're already at the headquarters of these forces, which is located in Kiryat Gat—๐ฎ๐ฑ. Others will arrive soon — Indonesians, I think Kazakhstan still wants to come. They'll send them."
๐ Full analysis:
๐ก Food for Thought & Prophecy Alert ⚠:
Is America — its forces, through NATO member Turkey, and their proxy armies, working to stop a rogue Kenite nation — Netanyahu's government❓
๐๐ Luke 21:20 — "And when ye shall see Jerusalem compassed with armies, then know that the ๐กdesolation ➜ (he = Desolator/Anti-Christ; Greek: instead of Christ/false messiah = Satan) thereof is nigh." ๐
๐ก✞ Dr. Pastor Arnold B. Murray:
๐บ๐ธ "America, our forces make—even if you would, I'll say it—the return to Jerusalem possible..." ๐
๐ฅ⃢ YouTube ▶️ ๐
ⓕ Facebook ๐
๐งฌ ✡️ Kenites—Rev. 2:9 / 3:9 Exposed Studies:
๐ The nation's main location (headquarters): Jerusalem / Israelie ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐
ⓕ Facebook ๐
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/18o5EY6HDJ/
⚠️ #WATCHMEN, WATCH!
#SteveDoudnik #YakovKedmi #Kedmi #USA #Miami #Florida #PrivateInvestigator #DetectiveAgency #WorldPolitics #MiddleEast #Trump #Netanyahu #GlobalCrisis #Geopolitics #Analysis #Prophecy #EndTimes #Jerusalem #Turkey #NATO #America #Israel #Netanyahu #Erdogan #Kenites #BibleProphecy #Luke21 #Watchmen #Geopolitics #Faith #CurrentEvents
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